![]() (This formula makes a perfect companion for the smart risk equation.) Just like the article I wrote about the Smart Risk Equation, this isn’t the kind of equation you can objectively plug numbers into and find some sort of solution that applies to everyone everywhere, but it is a fantastic guide for thinking about and comparing the risks that exist in your own life and what to do about them. How can you apply a formula like this to your own life? Read on to find out. And if the threat is low and you’re incredibly prepared, well, you’ve probably wasted time, money, and energy where it could have been better spent. But if the threat is high and you’ve done everything you can to prepare for it, then your risk is, at worst, average and, at best, low. If the threat is high, and you’ve done nothing to mitigate it, you’re at great risk. And you can apply this same line of logic to a simple equation and use it every day in your own life when you’re assessing risk: Risk = Threat x Vulnerability There was a high threat of the flu at the same time that I was particularly vulnerable to it. This practically guaranteed I was going to get sick. I exposed myself to a group of people who were showing early signs of the flu.There was a bug going around, and a number of my friends had it.There’s another opportunity for illness to strike. My immune system is being suppressed by intense marathon training.In fact, it follows a simple line of logic: ![]() Fingers crossed!īut there’s actually a very good reason I got sick, and you can trace the path I took pretty clearly. There’s little more thought applied to the situation. Why did I get sick? Most people fall ill, get better, and hope it never happens again. In between the fever-induced hallucinations and general mutterings of a mad man, it gave me the opportunity to think about risk in another light. I’m just starting to come back to life after two weeks with the flu.
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